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As consumption becomes more sensitive to the real rate of interest,


A) the IS curve gets steeper and monetary policy grows more effective in manipulating GDP in the short run.
B) the IS curve gets flatter and monetary policy grows more effective in manipulating GDP in the long run.
C) the IS curve gets flatter and monetary policy grows more effective in manipulating GDP in the short run.
D) the IS curve is unaffe c t e d, but monetary policy grows we a ker nonetheless.
E) the IS curve gets steeper and monetary policy grows less effective in manipulating GDP in the long run.

F) B) and C)
G) B) and E)

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The impact of an increase in the real interest rate on consumption


A) is difficult to measure since interest rates and income are moving simultaneously during the course of the business cycle.
B) tend to make consumers defer consumption due to the substitution effect.
C) tend to increase total consumption of individuals with positive wealth due to the income effect.
D) tend to decrease total consumption of individuals with negative wealth due to the income effect.
E) all of the above.

F) A) and B)
G) B) and E)

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It has been argued that, "A tax cut must be followed later by a tax increase to pay for the resulting deficit" is the self-fulfilling prophecy of those who use it to predict that an income windfall from a tax reduction must be temporary. The argument can be supported by


A) appealing to forward-looking consumption theory, which predicts that a temporary increase in income produces only a small increase in consumption.
B) noting that small consumption increases produce very little economic stimulus.
C) recalling that larger than expected gaps between actual and potential GDP mean larger deficits spawned by enlarged transfer programs and reduced tax revenues.
D) all of the above.
E) none of the above.

F) B) and E)
G) A) and B)

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An intuitive explanation of the observed discrepancy between short- and long-run marginal propensities to consume must focus on why


A) consumption falls by less than income in the short run but eventually achieves over 90 percent of income's decline.
B) consumption climbs slower than income in the short run but eventually exhausts over 90 percent of income's increase.
C) consumption moves more slowly in either direction than income in the short run but eventually matches either move almost exactly.
D) a and b.
E) none of the above.

F) A) and B)
G) A) and E)

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Let the consumption function be given by C = 0.85 + 0.8YDP with permanent disposable income specified according to YDP = 0.75YD + 0) 25YD-1) . Let there be a permanent $1,000 increase in income. Two years later, consumption will have increased by


A) $1,000.
B) $850.
C) $800.
D) Something between $600 and $800.
E) $600.

F) All of the above
G) B) and E)

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Suppose that the real interest rate climbs. In that case,


A) the income effect pushes consumption in the first year up in opposition to the substitution effect that pushes down first-year consumption.
B) the income effect pushes consumption up in the second year and is supported by a second push generated in year 2 by the substitution effect.
C) it would be impossible to tell whether consumption increases or decreases in year 1 because the income and substitution effects push in opposite directions.
D) the substitution effect tends to depress current consumption because future consumption becomes less expensive.
E) all of the above.

F) A) and D)
G) B) and C)

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Ando and Modigliani postulated a consumption function depending on not only disposable income but also the value of assets in which people keep their wealth. The estimated coefficient for asset value


A) emerged in the neighborhood of 0.06, pretty close to the marginal propensity to consume that the theory might predict for temporary changes in income.
B) emerged in the neighborhood of 0.7, a little low for the propensity to consume that the theory would predict for permanent changes in income.
C) emerged as expected on the basis of theory in the 0.05 range, but the estimated marginal propensity to consume out of income was a bit low, in the 0.7 range.
D) a and c.
E) none of the above.

F) A) and E)
G) A) and B)

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Modern forward-looking theories of consumption


A) are founded on the pioneering work done by Milton Friedman and Franco Modigliani on the permanent income theory and the life cycle theory, respectively.
B) are based on consumption depending on current disposable income, current wealth, and expected paths of disposable income and wealth in the future.
C) assert that individuals make long-term consumption decisions each year, using as much information about the present and the future as possible.
D) do not preclude individuals' changing consumption plans as new information presents itself.
E) all of the above.

F) C) and D)
G) All of the above

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Which of the following circumstances is likely to exaggerate the expected shift in an IS curve in response to a reduction in taxes?


A) A perception that the tax change is temporary
B) A perception that the tax change is permanent
C) A prior anticipation of higher taxes throughout the foreseeable future
D) A prior anticipation that taxes would not change in the foreseeable future
E) The certain knowledge that nothing is certain but death and taxes

F) None of the above
G) A) and D)

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Short-run marginal propensities to consume are smaller than long-run propensities in part because


A) people need time to decide whether or not an increase in income is permanent or temporary and the propensity applied to a permanent change is smaller than the propensity applied to a temporary change.
B) people need time to decide whether or not an increase in income is permanent or temporary and the propensity applied to a permanent change is larger than the propensity applied to a temporary one.
C) people make rash decisions in the short run and thereby overspend.
D) it takes a long time for the consumer durables that dominate long- run consumption to be delivered and paid for.
E) none of the above.

F) C) and E)
G) None of the above

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Suppose that people looked upon a $1,000 windfall as 50 percent permanent and 50 percent temporary. The short-run marginal propensity to consume out of that $1,000


A) would be 50 percent because the entire permanent component would be spent in the year it was received.
B) would be slightly higher than 50 percent because all the permanent component and a small part of the temporary component would be spent in the year it was received.
C) would be significantly greater than 50 percent because people always spend at least 50 percent of even a temporary increase and all of a permanent increase.
D) would be approximately 0.91 because that is the estimated "Keynesian" marginal propensity to consume.
E) none of the above.

F) B) and E)
G) A) and D)

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The short-run marginal propensity to consume can be derived statistically by calculating how


A) the level of consumption responds to changes in the level of disposable income.
B) changes in consumption respond to changes in disposable income from year to year.
C) consumption is correlated to disposable income on a quarterly basis.
D) changes in consumption of less durable goods respond to changes in disposable income.
E) none of the above.

F) C) and D)
G) All of the above

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The short-run marginal propensity to consume is estimated on the basis of


A) a straight-line equation that most accurately describes consumption as a function of personal disposable income.
B) a curved-line equation that most accurately describes consumption as a function of personal disposable income.
C) a straight-line equation that most accurately describes year-to-year changes in consumption as a function of year-to-year changes in personal disposable income.
D) a curved-line equation that most accurately describes year-to-year changes in consumption as a function of year-to-year changes in personal disposable income.
E) none of the above.

F) A) and E)
G) A) and D)

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For the past 30 years in the United States, the long- and short-run marginal propensities to consume have been estimated to be


A) 0.72 and 0.94, respectively.
B) 11.2 and 4.1, respectively.
C) 0.94 and 0.77, respectively.
D) identical and equal to 0.94.
E) too volatile to attribute to a single number.

F) B) and D)
G) C) and D)

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Knowing the desired size of the bequest is important in predicting the path of future consumption,


A) but unfortunately it is inconsistent with the basic assumptions of the permanent income hypothesis.
B) but unfortunately it is inconsistent with the basic assumptions of both the permanent income hypothesis and the life cycle hypothesis.
C) but not knowing its precise size does little to undermine the general implications of any of the forward-looking consumption theories.
D) but theories that explain bequest behavior are totally inconsistent with any forward-looking consumption theory.
E) none of the above.

F) B) and C)
G) A) and E)

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Suppose that an individual anticipated that the next calendar year's income would be $1,000 higher than this year's. Facing a real interest rate of 0 percent and a 20-year planning horizon, you would expect her annual real consumption to


A) increase by $900 if the increase were permanent and $90 if it were a one-shot deal.
B) increase by $1,000 if the increase were permanent and $100 if it were a one-shot deal.
C) increase by $950 if the increase were permanent and $50 if it were a one-shot deal.
D) remain the same for one year and then increase by $1,000 if the increase were permanent and by $50 if it were temporary.
E) none of the above.

F) A) and E)
G) A) and B)

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An increase in the marginal propensity to consume is most accurately thought of as


A) a rightward shift of the IS curve.
B) an increase in the interest sensitivity of the goods market.
C) a decrease in the interest sensitivity of the goods market.
D) both a and c.
E) both a and b.

F) D) and E)
G) A) and B)

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Errors made by researchers using the long-term estimate of the marginal propensity to consume to predict short-term movement in consumption can be extremely large. It is important, therefore, to understand when those errors might occur. If you were to draw the simple Keynesian consumption with MPC = 0.94 on a piece of graph paper, then you would expect to plot


A) the combination of consumption and GDP for 1973 above the line.
B) the combination of consumption for 1983 below the line.
C) the combination of consumption and GDP for 1975 above the line.
D) the combination of consumption and GDP for 1946 below the line.
E) none of the above.

F) None of the above
G) B) and C)

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